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The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s monthly meeting released early this morning were interpreted by the market as slightly dovish, as they were The wording in the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that there are still uncertainties in the prospect of raising interest rates this month. Asia showed signs of strength in early trade, rebounding from five-year lows before the release of the Federal Open Market Committee minutes and now testing nearby resistance conditions during the session. However, Lao Xie's analysis believes that even if the market believes that there are still variables in the monthly interest rate hike, this view has rebounded sharply, so the market will remain weak and volatile until there is further guidance.
The minutes of the meeting failed to further increase the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in March, which is consistent with the policy statement issued on March 1, and market demand for gold increased again. The policy statement once again emphasized that the Federal Reserve will evaluate whether it is appropriate to raise interest rates next month and will need to rely on economic data to make decisions.
The CME Group’s Fed Interest Rate Discussion Probability Survey Tool shows that after the release of the meeting minutes, the likelihood of a monthly interest rate hike dropped from % before the minutes to %. Over the next day, markets will continue to digest the Fed meeting minutes, with focus now turning to the weekly jobless claims report, the Philadelphia Federal Manufacturing Index and further dollar moves later in the day. The minutes may be viewed as slightly dovish if they highlight policymakers' renewed concerns about the dollar's appreciation and if interest rate markets indicate a clear tightening of U.S. financial conditions.
After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates for the first time, all focus will be on the process of raising interest rates. Federal Reserve members basically agree to gradually raise interest rates. So what exactly does gradual mean? Quarterly rate hikes are most likely, or less frequent rate hikes that are more aggressive than current market pricing suggests. The Fed's future rate hike progress will depend on economic data and it will always monitor a number of financial conditions. If financial conditions tighten too much during the rate hike, the Fed's tightening process may stall for a longer period of time.
After consecutive negative daily closings, yesterday finally received a positive cross star. Although it is not a reversal signal, it also brings a glimmer of hope to the market that has been falling continuously. The bears are not so unscrupulous, and the gold price has reached a new annual low again. The opening on the main chart is running downwards, and the moving average indicators are arranged in a formation. The short-term restraints were once tested in the early morning, but they quickly retreated. Followed by the first-line resistance level, if not To break through the two mountains that are weighing on the short side, there is no need to expect gold prices to find much room for rebound. The indicators in the attached picture turn around above the axis and run downward. The daily line continues to remain high, and the upper resistance provides short-term support. In terms of the operation strategy of spot gold, go long if the bottom line is stepped back, stop loss, and the target is to look above the first line. If the first line touches the first line, go short. The stop loss target is to look below the first line. If it falls below, wait for the first line to go long, stop loss, and the target is to look above the first line. For example, Lao Xie Alchemy provides specific market breakthrough strategies online.
The daily line is currently experiencing a negative trend, and it keeps falling all the way, which makes people scared. We hope that the low of this year may not be refreshed so quickly. There is still room to get closer to the historical low. The opening on the main chart Divergent downward, the line column follows the moving average like the Milky Way falling for nine days. The short-term is suppressed and cannot turn over. The short-term moving average indicators are arranged in a short position. The green energy of the dead cross is weakened. The daily line is relatively volatile. Pay attention to the first-line resistance level. Below Short-term support,. In terms of some of Ning Guiyin's operating strategies, the upper line rebounds, shorts, stop loss, the target is the lower line, the bottom line is stepped back, long, stop loss, the target is the first line.
As an upstart in the market, asphalt replaces products that have been removed from the shelves, and its trend remains consistent with international crude oil. The recent increase in crude oil inventories has caused asphalt to fall close to profit margins in just a few days. On the daily chart, asphalt opened with a slight jump and moved higher. It is currently consolidating below the resistance level. If it makes further upward attack, asphalt stabilizes above it, it is not impossible to attack the middle rail area in the short term. A dead cross at the high level has already appeared. Turning point phenomenon, green energy gradually weakens, there is some room for correction in daily asphalt, maintain high short selling ideas. As for the operation strategy of the asphalt part, go short on the upper rebound line and stop the loss. Look at the lower line for the target. Go long on the lower line and step back on the lower line. Stop the loss. Look at the first line for the target.
Evening focus
Euro zone monthly seasonally adjusted current account
UK monthly seasonally adjusted retail sales rate
UK monthly industrial orders difference
European Central Bank announces monthly monetary policy meeting Minutes
Canada’s monthly wholesale sales monthly rate, the United States’ initial jobless claims in the week to May, the United States’ monthly Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index
The United States’ monthly Conference Board Leading Indicator monthly rate
The next day’s Fed year Voting committee member Lockhart delivered a speech
The above article was written by Lao Xie Lianjin, an analyst at Zhihe Fujin. Some of the news information is extracted from online resources. The content of the article is for
Guangdong Guoyuan Commodity Trading Center